This post briefly reviews the accelerated technological development that could create a new reality in the second half of the century, where the current socio-economic order can no longer exist. It's ostensibly a long time away, but in historical terms, it's right here. It means that today's children and adolescents will grow up in a humanity significantly different from the current one, not only on the technological level but mainly on the socio-economic aspect.
- I did not provide a detailed analysis of the four main circles: society, economy, geopolitics, and technological and military capabilities. It is a deep analysis with many variables. I will make do with a few points, mainly in the labor market.
My conclusions are based on in-depth discussions with the artificial intelligence DeepSeek. Although artificial intelligence has tried to soften the conclusions, the inevitable conclusion is a dramatic change in the socio-economic order.
The AI revolution comes along with a series of other technological developments.
As someone who extensively uses artificial intelligence, I can only emphasize that artificial intelligence exceeds all expectations, even though it is only the first generation. Artificial intelligence can replace almost all jobs in clerical occupations: banks, insurance, lawyers, medical services, financial services, municipal services, teaching, community services, and more. The main gap between the experts is the time it will take to implement the changes. (Estimates range from 5-10 years to the first stage)
The impact on the labor market is already felt, but tens of millions of workers will lose their jobs within a decade.
- The claims that market forces will balance employment, as in previous revolutions, could exist as a single event, but not under these conditions of an aggregate event.
- The Industrial Revolution and the Internet Revolution dramatically increased global GDP and contributed to the well-being of many populations. The transition to urbanization and income-generating jobs did not incentivize a new socio-economic order.
The artificial intelligence revolution is closely related to home robotics and autonomous driving. It has a dramatic impact on the employment market.
- Industrial robots have existed for decades, especially in heavy industries requiring repetitive routine work. Humanoid home robots must perform complex tasks while moving and understanding voice commands or agreed-upon signs. Such robots already exist but are not yet in serial production. They will become a routine consumer product in the coming years, and their price will steadily decline.
- Household robots will perform various cleaning jobs, cook to order, shop for us, help the child with homework, and even help diaper the baby. (Of course, you can continue with the household chores onwards)
Advanced robots can replace cleaning workers, repair, sew, construction workers, handle heavy loading, guard, and security, and more. A huge number of the human workforce could lose their jobs. Even an army of robotic soldiers, fearless, no longer sounds imaginary.
Autonomous driving already exists. What stops it is mainly the regulation and synchronization of communication between autonomous and non-autonomous driving vehicles.
- It is already quite clear to everyone that driving will become a hobby within a decade or two! Cars will drive to their destination without a driver. Car synchronization will be carried out according to an accident prevention protocol. Even those who drive a car (without autonomous driving) will be synced to the traffic automatically, using a dedicated communication chip.
We are talking about millions of drivers who will remain unemployed.
The available jobs will be adapted to a few with particularly high capabilities, especially in introducing new technologies. Regarding technological abilities, the average person will not have adequate replacement jobs.
- Small businesses may experience a sharp decline in demand due to the loss of income in large population sectors. The tech giants and their controlling shareholders will get rich.
- Countries will experience a sharp decline in revenues from direct taxes on labor, as well as a decline in indirect taxes on consumption. The taxation of the tech giants is problematic, mainly due to their involvement in politics. Without effective taxation of the tech giants, the public coffers will suffer severe deficits and add to the already problematic debt burden.
Deep and prolonged structural unemployment, of tens of percent, is an event humanity has not experienced.
The existing socio-economic model is based on working as a salaried or self-employed individual.
Youth unemployment is a well-known phenomenon; they are usually the first to be thrown out of the workforce. However, deep adult unemployment creates a situation in which many households lose their main source of income. Without income and government support, the situation deteriorates easily.
The impact on the real estate market can also be dramatic!
- The office real estate market will free up huge areas. The phenomenon is already felt with the transition to AI, but it has only begun. To prevent deterioration, offices will be repurposed for residential use, creating a price drop in the residential real estate sector. The residential housing market can deteriorate into a deep crisis if people do not have employment.
- In such extreme scenarios, the collapse of banks, the largest lenders with problematic credit, is almost inevitable. From here, the road to economic chaos is short.
Fusion reactor technology will probably be available within 20-25 years. It will enable clean electricity production without the need for polluting fuels. It will also have a significant geopolitical influence, which will benefit China.
Events that balance structural unemployment.
A dramatic birth decline is likely, but the effect is not immediate. Natural disasters, epidemics, and wars dramatically impact society and the economy, but these are extremely destructive forces. Humanity today is capable of destroying the Earth and leaving it desolate.
- The risk of World War III increases dramatically during economic unrest and loss of social order. World War III could break out because of an unplanned mass casualty event that triggers a dramatic reaction and creates an unstoppable chain reaction. (A nightmare scenario is quite possible)
- Unstable regimes are likely to collapse, and with them, dictators. However, this entails enormous risks. Today's sophisticated weapons are often more destructive than those in World War II.
The claim that all leaders are sane and will avoid a third world war is true to a certain extent. The emotional reaction of one (reckless) captain can wreak havoc on all of humanity.
What would life on Earth look like if a socio-economic revolution occurred?
I used game theory models to create the socio-economic upheaval scenarios. The AI agreed with me on the mathematical conclusions, but proposed a hybrid model. (Possible, but less likely in my opinion) The two options that arise from the mathematical game theory model are at the extremes: (both maintain a stable state of Nash Equilibrium). The mathematical model assumes people who act rationally and with egoistic motives. The AI claimed that people also act out of emotion (a correct argument), but agreed that the assumption that a large population is egoistic is correct.
- A society controlled by the ruling minority. The tech companies and their leaders! The minority provides for the subsistence of the silent majority. They rule with a high hand, through laws and strict policing, with draconian punishment. Right! Like in science fiction movies. Rebellions are commonplace, but punishment is frightening.
- The second extreme option is complete equality in resource allocation. It is essential to emphasize that this is not communism.
- This option is currently impossible for humanity because it requires open borders, free immigration, free trade movement, and more. (At the moment, not a possible vision for humanity)
- The DeepSeek AI also offered an intermediate solution, a kind of hybrid model. It is possible, but less likely. In any case, we are discussing a dramatic change in the existing socio-economic model.
The problem is that revolutions often produce coups d'état and are violent.
Extraterrestrials are the only ones capable of stopping humanity's descent into violent coups.
Link: Intriguing Facts about Extraterrestrial Civilizations.
Extraterrestrials have been accompanying humanity since the dawn of creation. Without their intervention and mediation, humanity could destroy itself and the Earth. An encounter with extraterrestrials will be shocking and will change humanity forever, but without their intervention, there is an existential danger that humanity will not survive! End-of-days movies are not just a figment of the imagination. It is no coincidence that many prophecies of channelers warn of World War III and the extinction of humanity.
